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18.06.2013 01:34 PM
GOLD: Analysis for June 18, 2013

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Overview:

Since our last analysis Gold has been trading in downward moves like we expected, price tested level 1,377.00. We are still waiting for our second intraday target level at 1,356.50. We are also waiting for our first short-term target level FE 61.8% at price 1,323.00, according to the daily chart. I saw decreasing volume in the previous move up which is a good sign of weakness for future. First up leg got 326,000 total volume and if you compare it with the second up leg where we got 212,000 of total volume, you will find 35% decreasing on the second leg which is a good sign that we may see future down. I also calculated previous down leg and I got 368,000 of total volume which is a strong sign that corrective phase after huge selling climax has ended. On the daily chart we can also see no demand bar (Wednesday bar) which is strong confirmation that we have no demand on the market. Current situation on (1H) chart is  that price rejected fromprevious supply level at 1,393.00. In the short term, buying of this pair looks very risky so I advise you to watch for selling opportunities.

Daily pivot Fibonacci points: 

Resistance levels:

R1 : 1,378.20

R2 : 1,378.76

R3 : 1,379.68

Support levels:

S1 : 1,376.36

S2 : 1,375.80

S3 : 1,374.88

Trading recommendation: Operating with the metal, be careful with short-term buying and look for selling opportunities.

My recommendation for down short-term target is 1,323.00.

My recommendation for down intraday target is 1,356.00.  

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Petar Jacimovic
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